Saturday, March 7, 2020

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Tennessee

As in other southern states, Biden was bolstered by blacks in Tennessee as well as a focus on electability. Forty-one percent of voters said Biden stood the best chance of defeating Trump in November, compared with 23% who said the same of Sanders. And it was a key concern; 60% preferred a candidate who could beat Trump over one who agreed with them on major issues.

About a quarter of voters were blacks; 53% of them chose Biden.

Biden also ran ahead of Sanders with the 48% who desired a return to Obama's policies. By contrast, Sanders led by more than 4-1 among the third of Tennessee voters who favored a more liberal turn. While Sanders prevailed over Biden by a narrow margin among independent voters (32-28), he was in a dead heat with Biden among liberals, each with 32%.

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Posted by Erin Burnett to ANT at March 7, 2020 at 5:43 PM

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Oklahoma

Biden was buoyed by broad support among moderates, seniors, mainline Democrats and those looking for a return to Barack Obama's policies. Biden won 46% of moderates – 22 points over Bloomberg and 33 points over Sanders.

Oklahoma had fewer liberals than any state to vote so far, a Sanders group. Biden also benefited from high turnout among seniors – they accounted for 35% of voters, among the most, and went for Biden with 48% support, with Bloomberg closest at 25%.

Biden won big among mainline Democrats, nearly two-thirds of voters, 45-21% over Sanders. And ties to Obama boosted Biden: Fifty-seven percent of voters who said they'd prefer a return to Obama's policies voted for Biden, with Sanders at a distant 16%. While as many voters preferred a change to more liberal policies, Sanders won them by a narrower 21-point margin.

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Posted by Erin Burnett to ANT at March 7, 2020 at 5:43 PM

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North Carolina

A desire to return to the policies of Barack Obama and broad support from black voters boosted Biden in North Carolina, while under 45s and "very" liberal voters backed Sanders. Bloomberg faced voter concerns about vast campaign spending from candidates' personal coffers.

Blacks made up 27% of voters, and like their counterparts to the south, they went strongly for Biden. It was a tighter contest among whites, who divided 31-25% between Biden and Sanders.

Fifty-six percent said they preferred to have the next president return to Obama's policies, higher than in any other state except Alabama. That group went for Biden by 55-17% Biden-Sanders.

Fifty-four percent of voters called it unfair for candidates to spend unlimited amounts of their own money on their campaigns, vs. 42% who call this fair. Bloomberg did 14 points better among those who called it fair.

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Posted by Erin Burnett to ANT at March 7, 2020 at 5:43 PM

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Minnesota

Klobuchar's exit from the contest Monday and subsequent endorsement of Biden paved the way for late-deciding voters to break heavily for the former vice president. Fifty-five percent decided their vote the last few days – the most of any state with exit polls tonight – breaking for Biden, 53%, vs. 19% for Sanders and 16% for Warren. Klobuchar's popularity helped her endorsement carry water; 76% of voters expressed a favorable opinion of her, with 48% of them supporting Biden vs. 21% for Sanders.

Views of electability also boosted Biden. Sixty-five percent of Minnesota voters preferred a candidate who can beat Trump over one who agrees with them on the major issues. Biden won nearly half (47%) of electability-focused voters, compared with 21% for Sanders and 17% for Warren. In a related question, 45% pegged Biden as the candidate best able to defeat Trump, 18 points over Sanders.

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Posted by Erin Burnett to ANT at March 7, 2020 at 5:42 PM

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Massachusetts

Strong backing by moderates, seniors and late-deciding voters lifted Biden to victory in Massachusetts, followed by Sanders (backed by those younger than 45), then Warren, third in her home state. The three split voters in the progressive lane, with liberals dividing 33-28-27%, Sanders-Warren-Biden.

Timing played a considerable role in Biden's victory. Fifty-one percent of Massachusetts voters made their decision in the last few days, second only to Minnesota in states with exit polls today. They voted for Biden, 43%; Warren, 20%; and then Sanders, 18%. Biden also won a substantial 47% of voters 65 and older.

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Posted by Erin Burnett to ANT at March 7, 2020 at 5:42 PM

[ANT] New comment on The View co-host Joy Behar says Trump is 'quiverin....

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Maine

Favorable views of socialism, support for a single-payer health care system and desire for change lifted Sanders, while electability-focused voters and those looking for a unifying candidate boosted Biden.

Of four qualities tested, Mainers were most apt to prioritize someone who can bring needed change (41%) over someone who can unite the country (33%). Sanders won those desiring change by a 3-1 margin, while Biden won those who want a uniter by 6-1.

Democratic voters were particularly apt to see socialism favorably. Sixty percent said so, more than in any of the five states where the question was asked, with this group breaking for Sanders by 27 points. Biden won handily among those with an unfavorable opinion, by 48 points over Sanders.

Voters also expressed broad support for a single-payer health care plan, 69% – second highest after Vermont – and Sanders won this group by a wide margin.

Biden's came back with electability. Thirty-nine percent saw him as the candidate with the best chance to defeat Trump, compared with 30% for Sanders. And among the 66% of voters who preferred a candidate who can beat Trump rather than someone who agrees with them on the issues, 42% went for Biden, 25% for Sanders.

Thirty-two percent of Maine voters are independents, a bit more than the average in all other Democratic primary exit polls today (26%), and 40% back Sanders. In terms of ideology, 27% are moderates – they go for Biden, with 49% support.

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Posted by Erin Burnett to ANT at March 7, 2020 at 5:41 PM

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Colorado

In Colorado, Sanders was propelled by high levels of support among younger, liberal and issue-focused voters – especially those who supported replacing private health insurance with a single government plan and those who said the economic system needs a complete overhaul. As a mail-in voting state, Sanders didn't have to contend here with the movement of late deciders to Biden.

Thirty-two percent of voters were under 45 years old, and Sanders won half of them. Sanders also did well among the two-thirds who were liberals, with 38% support, followed by Warren with 20%. (Biden and Bloomberg split moderates, 23-22%, with Sanders at 17%.) And Sanders fared well among mainline Democrats – a core Biden group – running ahead of the former vice president, 29-20%.

More voters in Colorado cited health care as their top issue – 36% – among four issues listed, and Sanders had 31% support among them, with Biden, Bloomberg and Warren each trailing by double digits. Voters divided between saying the U.S. economic system needs a complete overhaul (49%) or only minor changes (43%). Sanders led among both groups, though by a much wider margin among those favoring overhaul.

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Posted by Erin Burnett to ANT at March 7, 2020 at 5:41 PM